Time series#

ARIMA, exponential smoothing, decomposition and statistical forecasting models.

ARIMA

Batched ARIMA and seasonal ARIMA fitted by maximum likelihood.

AutoARIMA

Automatic ARIMA order selection for a batch of series.

AutoTheta

Automatic theta model selection.

CrostonClassic

Croston's method for intermittent demand.

CrostonOptimized

Croston's method with optimized smoothing parameters.

CrostonSBA

Syntetos-Boylan approximation (SBA) of Croston's method.

DampedETS

Holt's damped additive trend model, ETS(A,Ad,N).

DynamicOptimizedTheta

The dynamic optimized theta model (DOTM).

DynamicTheta

The dynamic standard theta model (DSTM).

ETS

Exponential smoothing (ETS) with a fixed model.

ExponentialSmoothing

Holt-Winters exponential smoothing for a batch of seasonal series.

GARCH

GARCH(p, o, q) conditional volatility model with normal errors.

kpss_test

KPSS stationarity test for a batch of series.

OptimizedTheta

The optimized theta model (OTM).

ProphetForecaster

Prophet-style additive or multiplicative forecaster with linear growth.

select_d

Choose the differencing order d for each series by the KPSS test.

STL

Season-Trend decomposition using Loess.

Theta

The standard theta model (STM).

VAR

Vector autoregression estimated by OLS.