Time series#
ARIMA, exponential smoothing, decomposition and statistical forecasting models.
Batched ARIMA and seasonal ARIMA fitted by maximum likelihood. |
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Automatic ARIMA order selection for a batch of series. |
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Automatic theta model selection. |
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Croston's method for intermittent demand. |
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Croston's method with optimized smoothing parameters. |
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Syntetos-Boylan approximation (SBA) of Croston's method. |
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Holt's damped additive trend model, ETS(A,Ad,N). |
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The dynamic optimized theta model (DOTM). |
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The dynamic standard theta model (DSTM). |
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Exponential smoothing (ETS) with a fixed model. |
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Holt-Winters exponential smoothing for a batch of seasonal series. |
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GARCH(p, o, q) conditional volatility model with normal errors. |
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KPSS stationarity test for a batch of series. |
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The optimized theta model (OTM). |
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Prophet-style additive or multiplicative forecaster with linear growth. |
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Choose the differencing order |
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Season-Trend decomposition using Loess. |
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The standard theta model (STM). |
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Vector autoregression estimated by OLS. |